Which defence is worth its cost against a particular attacker? Robert’s attacker/defender meta-model connects real attack patterns, vulnerabilities and countermeasures (from CAPEC, MITRE ATT&CK and NIST SP 800-53) in one model with time, cost and uncertainty.
Formalised as Markov decision processes and stochastic games, the model lets defenders compare planned controls before investing in them and estimate the odds of real attack scenarios. Turned into a game, it becomes PenQuest, which students and practitioners play to learn how attacks and defences interact.
- Gamifying information security: Adversarial risk exploration for IT/OT infrastructures · Computers & Security, 2025
- Quantifying the Odds in Real World Attack Scenarios · IEEE CSR, 2024
- Comparing the Effectivity of Planned Cyber Defense Controls in Order to Support the Selection Process · Conference paper, 2024
- Formalizing Real-world Threat Scenarios · Conference paper, 2022
- PenQuest: a gamified attacker/defender meta model for cyber security assessment and education · Journal of Computer Virology and Hacking Techniques, 2020